Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.154949 1.372505 1.600408 1.855372 2.131157 2.419104 2.741144
2025-01-12 0.808371 1.104506 1.436385 1.828804 2.273772 2.757134 3.316667
2025-01-19 0.684355 1.028298 1.430987 1.923132 2.496081 3.131636 3.880249
2025-01-26 0.595987 0.978222 1.443590 2.028409 2.723866 3.508000 4.443863
2025-02-02 0.536112 0.951162 1.473583 2.145072 2.956948 3.883753 5.000777
2025-02-09 0.495091 0.941526 1.519867 2.277265 3.205327 4.275162 5.574404
2025-02-16 0.439533 0.903779 1.524393 2.353249 3.382816 4.581326 6.047792
2025-02-23 0.373639 0.842228 1.491417 2.377117 3.493261 4.805791 6.424119
2025-03-02 0.285307 0.733745 1.386176 2.301276 3.475527 4.873674 6.613592
2025-03-09 0.208186 0.628653 1.275724 2.210694 3.433095 4.906937 6.757936
2025-03-16 0.156212 0.555377 1.203410 2.164895 3.442299 4.998728 6.968269
2025-03-23 0.129129 0.522903 1.188383 2.194496 3.546064 5.204614 7.314007
2025-03-30 0.098717 0.479030 1.156358 2.204474 3.631346 5.397113 7.656195
2025-04-06 0.066722 0.420656 1.096279 2.172196 3.660398 5.520322 7.916202
2025-04-13 0.059563 0.421505 1.132276 2.276802 3.869430 5.867176 8.447087
2025-04-20 0.054493 0.426752 1.175376 2.391819 4.092719 6.232543 9.001485
2025-04-27 0.051460 0.437123 1.227086 2.519506 4.333182 6.619867 9.583247
2025-05-04 0.050542 0.453761 1.289794 2.663694 4.596223 7.036186 10.201225
2025-05-11 0.043181 0.447422 1.311321 2.746467 4.776537 7.348293 10.691909
2025-05-18 0.031675 0.421348 1.295616 2.772437 4.879361 7.562011 11.061708
2025-05-25 0.015339 0.360379 1.210427 2.689868 4.832076 7.583382 11.193457
2025-06-01 0.004747 0.300010 1.118170 2.591114 4.758699 7.568492 11.277885
2025-06-08 0.000847 0.259815 1.059777 2.541125 4.749577 7.633308 11.458467